Best time to fly out of Louisville (SDF)
The early-flight folk wisdom holds up at Louisville Muhammad Ali: departures in the Before 6am band left on time 92.8% of the time, against 66.1% in the 8–10pm band. These are historical odds, not forecasts. The records say what happened on this schedule over three years; they know nothing about tomorrow’s thunderstorm.
Data through June 2026 · Bureau of Transportation Statistics
On-time rate by hour and day
On this page, “on time” means a departure that pushed back less than 15 minutes behind its scheduled time — the Bureau of Transportation Statistics definition, and the one airlines are held to.
| Departure time | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 6am | 94 | 92 | 91 | 94 | 94 | 92 | 94 |
| 6–8am | 91 | 92 | 93 | 92 | 90 | 90 | 90 |
| 8–10am | 89 | 92 | 93 | 92 | 89 | 90 | 88 |
| 10am–12pm | 86 | 86 | 88 | 86 | 83 | 83 | 83 |
| 12–2pm | 82 | 87 | 87 | 84 | 82 | 82 | 81 |
| 2–4pm | 80 | 84 | 85 | 77 | 77 | 80 | 75 |
| 4–6pm | 77 | 80 | 78 | 73 | 73 | 75 | 71 |
| 6–8pm | 74 | 75 | 75 | 68 | 73 | 71 | 68 |
| 8–10pm | 66 | 76 | 72 | 66 | 67 | 71 | 59 |
| 10pm–12am | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
The steadiest stretch at SDF was Before 6am — 92.8% of departures left on time across 2,128 flights. The weakest was 8–10pm at 66.1%. 6–8am departures from SDF left on time 91.1% of the time across 17,252 flights; 6–8pm departures, 71.9% across 6,938. That is a gap of 19.2 points, and it is the whole case for the early flight.
The year at SDF
July was the hard month at SDF: 76.8% of departures left on time, across 6,518 flights. October was the easy one at 87.5%. Each month pools three years of that month, so a single bad week does not decide it.
| Month | Share departures that left on time | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| January | 82.5% | 5,034 |
| February | 85.9% | 4,852 |
| March | 82.4% | 5,939 |
| April | 84.2% | 6,132 |
| May | 79.7% | 6,724 |
| June | 78.6% | 6,282 |
| July | 76.8% | 6,518 |
| August | 84.4% | 6,141 |
| September | 86.8% | 5,993 |
| October | 87.5% | 6,412 |
| November | 86.9% | 5,520 |
| December | 83% | 5,363 |
Airlines at SDF
Every airline with at least 100 departures from SDF, busiest first. These are that airline’s departures from this airport only — its record across the country sits on its own page.
| Airline | Left on time | Typical delay | Cancelled | Departures |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways | 89% | 69 min | 1.8% | 17,713 |
| Southwest Airlines | 82.1% | 57 min | 1.1% | 15,440 |
| American Airlines | 78.8% | 118 min | 2.1% | 7,790 |
| Delta Air Lines | 88.5% | 84 min | 1.2% | 7,570 |
| SkyWest Airlines | 81.9% | 99 min | 1.6% | 5,869 |
| PSA Airlines | 76.9% | 114 min | 3.3% | 5,148 |
| Envoy Air | 81% | 67 min | 1.5% | 3,752 |
| United Airlines | 83.5% | 81 min | 0.9% | 2,584 |
| Spirit Airlines | 71.4% | 72 min | 1.9% | 2,458 |
| Allegiant Air | 72.2% | 98 min | 1.2% | 2,159 |
| Endeavor Air | 85.3% | 80 min | 1.2% | 427 |
Spirit Airlines (through May 2026) and Endeavor Air (through December 2024) stopped filing before June 2026. Their rows cover a shorter run of months than the rest of the table, so their figures are not set against the others anywhere on this page.
What delays out of SDF were put down to
Airlines file a reason with every arrival running 15 minutes late or more. Across 12,434 flights that departed SDF and ran 15 minutes late or more, the delay minutes break down with 37% put down to airline operations and 35.4% to late-arriving aircraft.
- Late-arriving aircraft 35.4%
- Airline operations 37%
- Air traffic & airport volume 22.1%
- Severe weather 5.3%
- Security 0.2%
Late-arriving aircraft is the knock-on category: the plane came in late, so it went out late again. It is why a 7am problem in Newark is still a problem in Denver at dinnertime, and why it is usually the biggest slice on the bar.
If you are connecting through SDF
Of 70,908 scheduled arrivals into SDF, 77.4% reached the gate less than 15 minutes behind schedule. Of the 14,742 arrivals that ran late, 53.7% were no more than 45 minutes behind — which is the difference between a tight connection and a new boarding pass.
Work out a specific layover — pick the airport and the minutes you have, and the tool reads the same arrival records back as a share.
Busiest routes out of SDF
Ranked by flights, with the share that arrived on time at the far end. Where a route carries enough flights for a page of its own the chip goes there; otherwise it goes to the destination airport.
- ATL 89.1% on time · 8,428 flights
- ORD 80.6% on time · 7,044 flights
- DFW 75.7% on time · 6,221 flights
- CLT 77% on time · 5,604 flights
- LGA 86.3% on time · 4,185 flights
- DTW 85.6% on time · 3,519 flights
- DEN 83.3% on time · 3,273 flights
- DCA 79.8% on time · 3,089 flights
- MDW 86% on time · 3,073 flights
- EWR 88.2% on time · 2,950 flights
SDF in one number
Louisville Muhammad Ali (SDF)
Rank 60 of 363 US airports by departures. Steadiest stretch of the day: Before 6am. Hardest month: July.
Questions about SDF
- What is the best time of day to fly out of Louisville Muhammad Ali?
- Before 6am. Departures in that band left on time 92.8% of the time across 2,128 flights, July 2023 through June 2026 — the best of the ten bands in the day. The 8–10pm band was the weakest at 66.1%.
- Is the early flight out of SDF really more reliable?
- 6–8am departures from SDF left on time 91.1% of the time across 17,252 flights; 6–8pm departures, 71.9% across 6,938. That is a gap of 19.2 points, and it is the whole case for the early flight.
- What is the worst month to fly out of SDF?
- July: 76.8% of the departures that flew left on time, with 6,518 scheduled. October was the other end of the year at 87.5%. Each figure pools three years of that calendar month.
- Which airline is most on time at SDF?
- Republic Airways — 89% of its 17,713 departures from SDF left on time. Allegiant Air sat at the other end at 72.2% over 2,159 flights. Only airlines with at least 100 departures here are ranked. Airlines that stopped filing before June 2026 are left out of the ranking — their figures cover a shorter run of months than the rest of the table.
- How often are flights cancelled at SDF?
- 1.6% of scheduled departures were cancelled over July 2023 through June 2026. Cancellations are counted against everything scheduled, not against everything that flew — a rate that looks small still adds up to real people in a rebooking line.